South West Public Health Annual Scientific Conference
Wednesday 3rd June 2009, Winter Gardens, Weston-super-Mare 

Abstracts of Parallel Session Presentations

 
A1 – DAVID EVANS, UWE
 
 
A systematic review of the impact of participatory approaches by UK public health units on health and social outcomes
 
 
Prince Consort Hall
 
11.30 – 11.50
 
 
Background: Since the 1970s the overlapping concepts of community development, engagement, involvement and participation have become a central concern of the international public health movement. Stimulated by the Declaration of Alma Ata, the Ottawa Charter and ‘Health for All’, the public health system in the UK has demonstrated an increasing rhetorical commitment to participatory approaches. However, it is less clear that participatory approaches have been regularly pursued by UK NHS public health units in practice. This literature has not previously been systematically reviewed or synthesised.
 
Aims: The central review question is ‘what has been the impact of participatory approaches by UK NHS public health units on health and social outcomes?’
 
Methods: This systematic review builds on the emerging methodology of qualitative systematic reviews which has been used in previous systematic reviews by the lead investigator. We systematically searched 14 online databases using a search strategy based on four word groups: population=community (+variations); intervention=participation (+variations); setting=public health department (+variations); outcome (+variations). Inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied including UK setting.
 
Results: The initial search yielded 5,451 references which were reduced to 2,155 once duplicates had been removed. Eight papers covering seven studies met the inclusion criteria, had data extracted and were fully analysed. The literature found was largely qualitative and focused on process rather than outcomes.
 
Conclusions: Despite the strong rhetorical commitment to participatory approaches in the specialist public health field, there is very limited evidence for the application and impact of participatory approaches by UK public health units.
 
 
 
B1 – SARAH GUNN, UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
 
 
Developing a peer-led health promotion programme: the example of AHEAD (Activity and Healthy Eating in ADolescence)
 
 
Ashcombe Suite
 
11.30 – 11.50
 
 
Background: Following the successful development and implementation of the peer-led ASSIST programme, which was shown to be effective in reducing adolescent smoking levels1, the Department of Health are funding a two-year study to test the feasibility of a similar peer-led intervention to encourage increased physical activity and healthy eating amongst adolescents.
 
1. Campbell et al. An informal school-based peer-led intervention for smoking prevention in adolescence (ASSIST): a cluster randomised trial. Lancet 2008 May 10;371(9624):1595-602.
 
Aims: To develop a training programme for ‘peer supporters’ that would enable them, in everyday situations, to encourage physical activity and healthy eating amongst their peers.
 
Methods: Influential students are identified by other members of their year group through a peer nomination questionnaire, and invited to attend a two-day, out-of-school training programme run by health promotion specialists and youth workers. The trained ‘peer supporters’ are then asked to pass on the information they have learned, and to model new behaviour, to encourage healthy eating and physical activity amongst students in their year. They are supported in this role through four school-based follow-up sessions.
 
Results and conclusions: The study is at the pilot stage. The purpose of this presentation is to describe the development and implementation of the training programme and identify some preliminary successes and challenges.
 
 
 
C1 – KATE THOMAS, UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
 
 
Socio-economic disadvantage from childhood to adulthood and locomotor function in old age
 
 
Grove Suite
 
11.30 – 11.50
 
 
Background: Increasing life expectancy has provoked public health concern about the prospects of a growing number of people experiencing problems with locomotor function in old age.  Socio-economic influences over a lifetime impact on health and may contribute to poor physical functioning in the elderly.
 
Aims: To examine the impact of childhood and adult socioeconomic factors on locomotor function in old age using the "get up and go" timed walk and "flamingo balance" tests, in the Boyd Orr (n=405) and Caerphilly (n=1,089) prospective cohorts. 
 
Methods: Walking times were log transformed because of a skewed distribution and linear regression models investigated associations of socioeconomic circumstances, adjusting for age, sex and clinic location.  The back-transformed regression coefficients represent percentage change in walk time.  The flamingo test was dichotomised at the lowest 20% of performers (cut-point <5 seconds); logistic regression was used.
 
Results: There were rapid reductions in walking speed and balance time with increasing age.  Each one-year increase in age was associated with a 1.7% increase in walk time and a 14% increased odds of poor balance.  Participants with low social class in childhood but high social class in adulthood had walking times that were 2% slower (95% CI: -4%, 8%) than people who had a high social class in both periods; participants who moved from a high childhood social class to a low adulthood social class had walking times that were 6% slower (95% CI: -1%, 14%); participants who had a low social class in both periods had walking times that were 10% slower (95% CI: 4%, 16%); (P for trend <0.001).  Achieving higher education was associated with 5% faster (95% CI: -7%, -2%) walking times; the association remained after adjusting for health behaviours and diseases but was partly attenuated after adjustment for adult social class (2% reduction; 95% CI: -5%, 1%).
 
Conclusion: Accumulating lifetime socioeconomic disadvantage is associated with worse physical performance in old age.
 
 
D1 – ANDERS WALLENSTEN, HPA SW
 
 
No evidence of transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza A/H5N1 from wild birds to humans during an outbreak in Dorset
 
 
Clarence Suite
 
11.30 – 11.50
 
 
Background: Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A/H5N1 is a zoonotic disease which is often fatal in humans. Wild birds may carry the disease, but it is not known to what extent contact with infected wild birds result in transmission to humans. On January 10th 2008 HPAI A/H5N1 was isolated from carcasses of mute swans collected at Abbotsbury Swannery, Dorset. This signalled the start of a two month outbreak in which ten mute swans and one Canada goose tested positive for the disease. The Health Protection Agency investigated if any humans were affected.
 
Aims: To investigate if any transmission of HPAI A/H5N1 to humans from wild birds had occurred.
 
Methods: People who had reported sick or dead wild birds to the Veterinary Laboratories Agency that tested positive for HPAI A/H5N1 were contacted and interviewed about their exposure. They were also asked to name others potentially exposed. Those that had been within one metre of infected birds without protective equipment were considered exposed. The exposed were assessed for the need for oseltamivir treatment and asked daily about symptoms during the HPAI A/H5N1 incubation period. Samples for serology were collected and analyzed 30 days after exposure.
 
Results: Thirteen exposed persons were identified of which seven had manually handled infected swans. Seven were given post prophylactic oseltamivir treatment. None of the exposed developed overt disease and follow-up serology was negative for the ten who accepted testing.
 
Conclusions: We found no evidence of transmission of HPAI A/H5N1 in people that had contact with infected birds.
 
 
 
A2 – LYNNE EAGLE, UWE
 
 
Accentuating the Positives or Negatives – The Impact of Message Framing on Health Communication Effectiveness
 
 
Prince Consort Hall
 
11.50 – 12.10
 
 
Background: Message framing refers to the way communications should be framed, for example either emphasising the advantages of doing a certain action or the negative consequences of not taking action.
 
Aims: It is known that the effectiveness of messages framed in either positive or negative terms is dependent on several factors. The aim is to systematically review the effectiveness of different types of interventions or targeted behaviours using various types of message framing.
 
Method: A systematic review using major electronic databases was conducted (e.g. EBSCO and EBSCO Medical (including Medline) databases for relevant studies and our own collection of papers and books.
 
Results: Positively framed messages appear to be stronger for preventative behaviour and health affirming messages. Factors potentially impacting on communication effectiveness include whether new behaviour is being promoted or whether ceasing current behaviour is targeted.  In low involvement conditions positive messages are more effective, whereas the reverse is true for high-involvement conditions. Negative message framing, often relying on fear appeals, has been found to be more effective for illness-detecting behaviour.  However, if the message conflicts with pre-existing knowledge, attitudes, beliefs and perceived social norms interventions are not only ineffective but harden resolve to continue with existing behaviours.  There is evidence that message framing effects vary across cultures, although this remains a significantly under-researched area.
 
Conclusions: There is a clear need to provide guidance to those planning interventions in order to maximise potential effectiveness of intervention communications. 
 
 
 
B2 – NORMA DAYKIN, UWE
 
 
The role of alcohol in weekend radio output aimed at young people in England: a mixed methods study
 
 
Ashcombe Suite
 
11.50 – 12.10
 
 
Background: Concerns have been raised about the role of alcohol in media output aimed at young people, in particular, it has been suggested that media representations have contributed to a culture in which excessive weekend alcohol consumption by young people is celebrated and encouraged. The study was funded by the Department of Health and the Home Office, working together on the Alcohol Harm Reduction Campaign.
 
Aim: The study sought to investigate the volume and nature of comments about alcohol in weekend output from a sample of radio stations in England.
 
Methods: Alcohol references from 1200 hours of radio output in England were examined. The sample included commercial and non commercial stations across a number of regions and music genres.  The research explored the volume and nature of alcohol related comments using quantitative methods. Discourse analysis was used to explore the role that these comments play in radio output.
 
Results: Variations in the volume and nature of comments about alcohol were found, influenced by broadcast sector, music genre and seasonal factors. Hence the volume of comments is lower on BBC stations than on commercial stations as well as on stations that focus on hip-hop and Black music as opposed to other genres.
 
The majority of comments by presenters support drinking in the context of weekend partying and socialising, one of five key themes identified. A proportion (13%) of comments, appear to encourage excessive drinking and while not all presenters encourage drinking, very few presenters directly challenge comments from listeners about excessive drinking.
 
Conclusions: Conventions of radio broadcasting may shape presenters’ responses to alcohol talk. Hence presenters are not solely responsible for representations of alcohol. For example, comments about alcohol contribute to identity and branding of radio output as well as helping to forge connections between presenters and listeners. However, some presenters achieve these goals without mentioning alcohol. 
 
 
 
C2 – IAIN LANG, EXETER UNIVERSITY
 
 
Total burden of exposure to environmental toxicants in relation to ethnicity: findings from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2001-2004
 
 
Grove Suite
 
11.50 – 12.10
 
 
Background: Some environmental toxicants, such as pesticides, have long been known to be concentrated in particular social and ethnic groups, and often considered a result of occupational or geographical risks. Recently established high throughput analysis techniques enable the estimation of population-level concentrations toxicants present at low doses, including pesticides, phthalates, and phenols, but analyses have tended to focus on single toxicants or classes of toxicants.

Aims: To assess the overall burden of toxicant exposure in a national population according to ethnic background.
 
Methods: Data on 11, 039 adults in the US National Health And Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2001-2004 were used to estimate body burdens of 225 toxicants. Ethnicity was self-reported as Hispanic Black, Hispanic White, Non-Hispanic Black, Non-Hispanic White, and other background. Differences in the normalized concentrations of each toxicant in relation to ethnicity were assessed using fully adjusted linear regression models.
 
Results: Concentrations of 26 of the 225 toxicants assessed (11.5 %) were associated with ethnic background. The greatest differences in relation to ethnicity were for the organochloride pesticides DDT, DDE, and HCH in which Mexican and Black respondents had mean concentrations 3.94 (95% CI  2.41 to 6.48) and 3.96 (95% CI  3.08 to 5.09) times higher than Non-Hispanic White respondents. Associations for a number of volatile organic compounds and phthalates were also determined.
 
Conclusions: These findings are the first to demonstrate the extent to which overall burden of toxicant exposure in the US general population is determined by ethnic background. There is an urgent need for policy to address ethic inequalities in exposure to harmful toxicants.
 

 
 
 
D2 – LINDA MATTHEWS
 
 
An Audit of Rubella Susceptibility Rates in the Cwm Taf (South) NHS Trust Over a Four Year Period
 
 
Clarence Suite
 
11.50 – 12.10
 
Background: Rubella is an insignificant childhood disease that has devastating results in pregnancy. Immunisation using Rubella single vaccine was replaced by Measles, Mumps and Rubella vaccine (MMR) in 1988. Adverse publicity (1998) caused a fall in uptake of MMR. Anecdotal evidence suggests that rubella susceptibility levels in pregnancy have subsequently increased. 
Aims: Using data collected in one NHS Trust area in Wales: To determine the rate of rubella susceptibility in antenatal women by age group, in first and subsequent pregnancies and to compare with National figures.
Methods: A retrospective analysis (2005 – 2007) of the results of rubella immunity in ante-natal screening tests was carried out. Information given on the request forms was also examined. Analysis was also planned prospectively for another 3 years from 2008 to 2010. To date 3 years retrospective and one year prospective have been analysed.
Results: The number and percentage of all women who are susceptible to rubella (as defined by an antibody level of <10 IU/ml) has risen over the period 2005-2008. The susceptibility rate in the most vulnerable group, namely women in their first pregnancy have increased from 6.6% to 9.5% in this four year period. Data will presented by age group, first pregnancy and ethnicity.
Conclusions: Poor uptake in the MMR Immunisation programme has been associated with an increase in rubella susceptibility rates particularly in the under twenties. The reduction in uptake of MMR may result in the re-emergence of rubella and cases of congenital rubella.
 
 
A3 – AMANDA OWEN-SMITH, UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
 
 
Do patients want to know if their healthcare is being rationed … and will clinicians tell them?
 
 
Prince Consort Hall
 
12.10 – 12.30
 
 
Background: Despite global policy moves towards more explicit forms of healthcare rationing, there has been no empirical research of patients’ views on this issue, and little relating to the views of clinicians.
Aims: To understand whether patients currently receiving healthcare want to know about financial limitations, and how clinical professionals make judgments about how much information to disclose.
Methods: Qualitative interview research with 31 patients (with morbid obesity and breast cancer) and 21 professionals involved in the provision of their care.
Results: Nearly all patients wanted to know about healthcare rationing, although their accounts showed that this could be extremely distressing, and many felt this was not the right approach for all patients.  Clinical professionals tended to be committed to explicitness in theory, but in practice ethical and pragmatic concerns meant that implicit approaches were often adopted. Clinicians adopted a number of techniques for deciding on the appropriate level of disclosure, and commonly waited for patients to ask specifically about these issues (which they rarely did). However, patients disliked discriminatory patterns of disclosure, and many simply did not know they needed to ask to be told about all treatment options available.
Conclusions: Despite most patients saying they were firmly in favour of explicit rationing, the potentially devastating effects of this approach means that some individual elicitation of preferences is necessary.  However, clinicians’ current elicitation techniques, such as they exist, are unsatisfactory, and this evidence suggests that disclosure practices are likely to be socially patterned. 
 
 
 
B3 – JUDI KIDGER, UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
 
 
Emotional health support in secondary schools: a mixed methods study
 
 
Ashcombe Suite
 
12.10 – 12.30
 
 
Background: In Britain, 12% of 11-16 year olds have a diagnosable mental disorder, with many more experiencing symptoms of emotional distress.  There is increasing academic and political interest in how schools can better support student emotional health, but little is known about what is currently being done, and what students and staff would like to see introduced. 
 
Aim: To examine emotional health provision across English secondary schools, and to explore student and staff perceptions of what schools can do to support teenagers’ emotional health.
 
Methods: A postal survey of a random sample of 296 secondary schools across England.  In-depth semi-structured student focus groups (27 groups, 154 students aged 12-14) and staff interviews (12 interviews, 15 individuals) in a sub-sample of eight schools.
 
Results: The majority of schools spent little curriculum time on emotional health, with several key topics such as depression and help seeking neglected.  Students and staff wanted more coverage, with experts rather than teachers delivering lessons.  Most schools provided support for students experiencing emotional distress, but the type and quality varied a great deal.  Students wanted an increase in confidential, accessible help sources, but also needed to be better informed about existing services.  Staff and students emphasised whole-school approaches to emotional health, in which teacher-student relationships, bullying, and other aspects of the environment could be addressed. 
 
Conclusions: Current emotional health provision is variable but often lacking.  Clearer guidance at policy level, rigorous evaluation of current interventions, and more training for teachers is necessary to improve the support provided. 
 
 
 
C3 – BRUCE BOLAM, GOSW
 
 
Do high levels of universal immunisation coverage control area-level deprivation effects on the incidence of vaccine-preventable disease?
 
 
Grove Suite
 
12.10 – 12.30
 
 
Background: The State of Victoria, Australia, has achieved over 90% immunisation coverage among the three principle childhood cohorts of 1, 2 and 6 years of age. With an incidence of 5.5 per 100,000 person-years, invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is the commonest reliably diagnosed vaccine-preventable disease (VPD). 7-valent pneumococcal vaccination of children under one year of age was introduced during 2005.
 
Aim: To describe the relationship between area-level deprivation and IPD incidence pre- and post-introduction of universal pneumococcal vaccination.
 
Methods: An observational ecological study using postcode to link Victorian Dept. of Human Services IPD notification data and pneumococcal vaccine coverage data from the Australian Childhood Immunisation Register to an area-based measure of social deprivation, the Australian Bureau of Statistic’s Index of Relative Socio-Economic Advantage/Disadvantage (IRSAD), for children aged 0-4 years during 2002-4 and 2006-7.
 
Results: There were 40.7 IPD cases per 100,000 children aged 0-4 years in 2002-4, with a non-significant trend to higher incidence with higher area-level deprivation (IPD & IRSAD r=0.54, regression line of best fit -1.06, 95%CI = -3.38, 1.26). There was almost 100% vaccine coverage all deprivation quintiles in 2006-07. There was an incidence of 11.4 IPD cases per 100,000 children aged 0-4 years in 2006-07, with a non-significant relationship between IPD incidence and area-level deprivation (IPD & IRSAD r=0.42, regression line of best fit -0.16, 95%CI = -1.01, 0.70.
 
Conclusions: There is limited observational data to suggest that high universal levels of IPD immunisation may have helped control any area-level deprivation effect in the commonest reliably diagnosed VPD in Victoria.
 
 
 
D3 – MARK KEALY, HPA
 
 
An outbreak of Tuberculosis at a utility call centre
 
 
Clarence Suite
 
12.10 – 12.30
 
 
Background: Current guidelines for tuberculosis control contain little guidance on Tuberculosis in the workplace. This report describes how one such outbreak of infection was managed.
 
Aim: to describe an outbreak of tuberculous infection at a utility call centre, and how its management may point the way for controlling similar outbreaks of tuberculosis.
 
Methods: Following notification of a smear positive case of tuberculosis in a young man, known to have infected one close contact, a wide ring of work contacts were identified. These were examined using the principles in the BTS and NICE guidance with a mixture of Mantoux testing and Chest X-ray depending on age. Those with a ‘positive’ Mantoux were tested using the ‘Quantiferon Gold’ immunoassay to determine whether they had infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis.
 
Results: A total of 52 Chest X-rays were performed on those people over the age of 35, none of these had features suggestive of early tuberculosis, 84 Mantoux tests were performed on those under 35, 45 of these had ‘positive’ Mantoux tests and of these 12 were positive on Quantiferon testing. All were started on prophylactic antituberculous treatment for latent infection. One was found to have a pleural effusion and diagnosed as having pulmonary tuberculosis.
 
Conclusions: This outbreak involved screening 136 contacts and resulted in finding a total of 12 cases of latent tuberculosis by Quantiferon testing and 1 case of clinical tuberculosis. In future guidance should suggest that a careful risk assessment needs to be undertaken for workplace contacts.
 
 
 
A4 – SUSAN HAMILTON, UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
 
 
Impact of local news reporting on suicides from Clifton Suspension Bridge 
 
 
Prince Consort Hall
 
12.30 – 12.50
 
 
Background: There is evidence that news reporting of suicides can lead to ‘copycat’ events, particularly when coverage is repeated, the method is described and readily available. Clifton Suspension Bridge has attracted publicity as a location for suicides in the UK and has been the site of 6-8 suicides per year since the 1970s. There is limited evidence from the UK on associations between reporting and suicides, and few studies assess the impact of quality and prominence of reporting.  
 
Aim: To assess the evidence for clustering in time of deaths from the Suspension Bridge between 1974 - 2007. To describe changes in the quality and prominence of local news reports, and assess the contribution of these to any clustering.
 
Methods: Details of suicides from the Suspension Bridge were obtained from the coroner’s office. The BBC and ITV provided copies of all local TV news broadcasts. Local newspapers were scanned for reports around the time of the death or inquest. All media items were rated for quality and prominence.
 
Results: Initial results indicate that the prominence of news reports concerning Suspension Bridge suicide has declined considerably over time. There has been no TV reporting since 1996. However, many of the recommendations to improve the quality of reporting in existing guidelines are not being implemented.  Evidence of clustering, and changes in the quality of news reports will be discussed.
 
Conclusions: While there has been some improvement in local media reporting of Suspension Bridge suicides, much remains to be done. Implications for public health professionals working with the media will be discussed.   
 
 
 
B4 – EMILY KLINEBERG, UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
 
 
Adolescent self-harm: a qualitative study on disclosure and help-seeking
 
 
Ashcombe Suite
 
12.30 – 12.50
 
 
Background: There are an estimated 25,000 presentations of adolescent self-harm to hospitals in England and Wales annually. Recent school-based surveys report that 7% of 16 year olds self-harmed in the past year and only 13% of those episodes led to hospital presentation. Support from friends and family is sought more frequently than help from services, yet self-harm often remains hidden.
 
Aim: To explore attitudes to disclosing self-harm and seeking help with an adolescent community-based sample.
 
Methods: Individual interviews were conducted with a purposive sample of 15-16 year olds (n=30) from four East London secondary schools, selected on the basis of gender and experience of self-harm.
 
Results: Young people who had self-harmed reported difficulty verbalising feelings. Some used self-harm to communicate distress, however many expressed reluctance about disclosure. This stemmed from attitudes about self-harm being personal or unproblematic, along with expectations of negative responses from others.
 
A range of informal and service-based sources of help was mentioned, with reservations about trusting others and handling of confidential information. There was limited understanding about service accessibility and whether professionals would help with personal problems, or simply attend to physical harm.
 
Conclusions: There was no consensus about help sources or knowledge of potential gatekeepers. There is a need to reduce stigma about mental health, to increase awareness of appropriate responses to self-harm along with the nature and accessibility of services. Development of school-based interventions could address these issues, providing information for both young people who self-harm and others who may be approached for support.
 
 
 
C4 – JULIE MYTTON, NHS BRISTOL
 
 
Estimating the prevalence of vitamin D deficiency during pregnancy in Bristol
 
 
Grove Suite
 
12.30 – 12.50
 
 
Background: The developing fetus receives vitamin D from their mother during the last trimester of pregnancy. Babies with vitamin D deficiency are at risk of hypocalcaemic fits. A case series of vitamin D deficient patients in primary care in Bristol in 2006 found a high proportion of women of childbearing age, especially in the Black African ethnic group.
 
Aims: To estimate the proportion of Caucasian and Black African women in Bristol with vitamin D deficiency during pregnancy.
 
Methods: Women were recruited to the study when attending routine antenatal appointments with midwives linked to 4 primary care centres in north Bristol. Blood for Vitamin D analysis was taken at the same time as other routinely collected samples.
 
Results: 97 Caucasian women and 82 Black African women were recruited between March and September 2008. Excluding 26 women reporting any vitamin D supplementation, 61.5% Caucasian women and 95.5% Black African women had less than the ‘adequate’ level of total vitamin D (<75nmol/l). 8.8% Caucasian women and 66.7% Black African women had ‘severely deficient’ levels of vitamin D (<25nmol/l). The mean difference in vitamin D between these groups (40.9nmol/l [95% CI 32.6, 49.1]) was greater than chance (p<0.001).
 
Conclusions: Black African women in this sample were highly likely to have babies born deficient in vitamin D and therefore at risk of hypocalcaemic fits. A proportion of pregnant Caucasian women were also found to be deficient. Deficiency is entirely preventable yet current vitamin D policy does not meet the needs of women or their infants.
 
 
 
D4 – ADA BENNETT, HPA SW
 
 
An assessment of commissioning needs of services for HIV/AIDS in the South West Region
 
 
Clarence Suite
 
12.30 – 12.50
 
 
Background: Increases in the number of the people living with HIV, and advances in treatment, have led to changes in its management from an acute, complication-management based model of care to a multiagency, community based model. National guidelines recommend that services are organised through Managed Clinical Networks which are not well established in the South West.  
 
Aim: To describe the epidemiology of HIV and current service provision in the South West, in relation to the national guidelines.
 
Methods: A descriptive epidemiology, with trend analysis of local data, was carried out. A systematic review using AMED, BNI, EMBASE, HMIC, PsycINFO, MEDLINE from PubMed, CINAHL, HEALTH BUSINESS ELITE and a further search of guideline documents related to HIV was carried out. A questionnaire was developed and sent to commissioners. Interviews were carried out with key providers and the voluntary sector. 
 
Results: The data shows that the number of people with HIV in the South West has almost doubled in the last five years from 1,296 in 2003 to 2,365 in 2007. Although clinical networks exist in the region, these do not have a commissioning function. Results of the questionnaires will be ready by the end of April 2009.
 
Conclusions: Initial findings indicate a need to commission HIV services in the context of wider sexual health strategies. The full conclusions of the study will be available in May 2009.
 
 
 
A5 – JAMES HAWKINS, UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
 
 
Long Term Smoking Relapse: A Study Using the British Household Panel Survey
 
 
Prince Consort Hall
 
2.00 – 2.20
 
 
Background: NHS performance indicators focus on successful smoking cessation at 4 weeks, based on evidence that 15% of abstainers will continue to be abstinent at one year. However there is little evidence examining abstinence and relapse rates beyond one year of cessation. This paper looks at the success of smoking cessation after one year of abstinence and factors influencing long-term relapse in a British population.
 
Methods: Smoking relapse is studied using a sub-sample of individuals in the annual British Household Panel Survey (BHPS), 1991-2006, who reported not being a smoker in at least two consecutive surveys after previously reporting being a smoker (n=1 914). A panel probit regression was used to examine the association between relapse and length of abstinence, socio-economic and health variables.
 
Results: Follow up was available on individuals for a median of 5 years. 29.5% (27.5%-31.6%; 95% CI) of the sample reported relapse during follow up. Increased length of abstinence, cohabiting, marriage, increased age, having a degree and increased GP visits were significantly associated with a lower risk of relapse.  While higher relapse rates were significantly associated with mental health problems, diabetes, financial worries and divorce.
 
Conclusions: A significant proportion of smokers relapse after more than one year of abstinence, suggesting that NHS indicators focussing on 4 week quit rates may be misleading. This study also sheds light on factors associated with long-term relapse. This can form the basis for targeting particular individuals in public health interventions aimed at prolonging abstinence.
 
 
 
B5 – LISA PATEL, NHS BRISTOL
 
 
The Comparative Effectiveness of Angiotensin-II Receptor Antagonists in Primary Hypertension: A Systematic Review
 
 
Ashcombe Suite
 
2.00 – 2.20
 
 
Background: Angiotensin-II receptor antagonists (AIIRAs) are widely used for the treatment of primary hypertension. There are seven AIIRAs currently licensed in the UK, candesartan, eprosartan, irbesartan, losartan, olmesartan, telmisartan and valsartan. They all differ slightly in their chemical structures and pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profiles, suggesting that they may also differ in their clinical effectiveness.
 
Aim: To determine which AIIRA is the most effective at reducing systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in adults with uncomplicated primary hypertension.
 
Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis for each AIIRA pairwise comparison were conducted.  Medline, Embase and Cochrane (1994-2007) were searched for randomised controlled trials comparing the effects of two or more AIIRAs as monotherapy on clinic BP in adults with primary hypertension.
 
Results: Thirty-seven studies reporting on a total of 11,537 participants met the inclusion criteria. Losartan reduced BP less than all six other AIIRAs, although this was only statistically significant for candesartan, irbesartan, olmesartan and telmisartan. Against these four the mean difference in BP after treatment ranged from 2.14-3.20mmHg for SBP, and from 1.24-2.63mmHg for DBP. Valsartan reduced BP less than the other five AIIRAs (excluding losartan), although this was only statistically significant for irbesartan and telmisartan. Against these two the mean difference in BP after treatment ranged from 2.30-2.60 mmHg for SBP and from 1.27-1.62 mmHg for DBP.
 
Conclusions:
Losartan was found to be the least effective AIIRA at reducing BP, followed by valsartan.  It was not possible to rank the remaining five AIIRAs in order of effectiveness.
 
 
 
C5 – LUKE HOUNSOME, SWPHO
 
 
Analysis of the Increase in Incidence of Malignant Melanoma, and Correlation with External Factors
 
 
Grove Suite
 
2.00 – 2.20
 
 
Background: The South West Public Health Observatory is instrumental in the establishment of a web-based ‘hub’ of resources for those working in the field of Skin Cancers. It is therefore essential to have as good an understanding as possible of the statistics relating to the incidence of malignant melanoma.
 
Aim: Determine the trends in incidence of Malignant Melanoma by age bands, and investigate regional variations. Analyse rates of incidence in conjunction with a selection possible explanatory factors e.g. ethnicity, deprivation, UV exposure and latitude.
 
Methods: Incidence rates at Local Authority geography have been extracted from the National Cancer Intelligence Service (NCIS) databases.  Incidence rates will be analysed using multiple regression so that the effect of a number of explanatory factors can be explored. Time trends in age-specific incidence rates for Government Office Regions have been assessed to identify any age differentials in the incidence of Malignant Melanoma. Rate ratios are used to determine the age groups which have seen the largest relative increases.
 
Results: Detailed results have yet to be produced. Initial results show a continuing increase in incidence of Malignant Melanoma, and a higher incidence in the South West and South East of England. The rate of increase appears to be larger in the people aged 55 and over.
 
Conclusions: Factors affecting incidence and mortality of any condition are complex and require careful analysis. It appears they are affected by changing temporal and social trends in exposure to UV radiation. Knowledge of the factors which most affect Malignant Melanoma will allow good service planning and targeted interventions.
           
 
 
D5 – JULIAN ELSTON, PenTAG / DEVON PCT
 
 
 
 
Clarence Suite
 
2.00 – 2.20
 
 
Background : UK policy makers have come under increasing pressure to screen young, competitive athletes for cardiovascular disease (CVD), in order to prevent sudden cardiac death (SCD). However, the harms and benefits of screening have not been fully explored at a population level.
 
Aim: To assess the population health implications of screening young, competitive athletes annually in the UK. 
 
Method: Using data from three key studies, we imputed incidence rates for the period before and after screening, and calculated the attributable risk and population attributable risk (and their fractions) of competition on athletes and screened athletes as well as the number needed to screen to prevent one SCD (NNS). We used false negative and positive test rates to calculate the prevalence of CVD and the sensitivity and specificity of the screening test.
 
Using these parameters, we developed a decision-tree model to estimate the annual number of SCDs in 12-35 year-olds in the UK, the expected number of screening and diagnostic tests, the number of athletes disqualified from competitive sport, the number of SCDs prevented, and the ratio of disqualifications per SCD.
 
Results: Competitive athletics contributed to 81.9% (62.4–91.6%) of SCD in athletes, but only 26.6% (-20.3–55.8%) in the population. After screening, this fell to 62.6% (25.6–80.0%) and 7.2% (-10.7–22.4%), respectively. The NNS was 38,151 (20,534 – 267,380). In the UK, 1,520,021 young athletes would be screened, with 140,361 referred for diagnosis. Of 196 SCDs per year, 40 would be prevented. For each SCD prevented 791 athletes would be disqualified.
 
Conclusions: The impact of screening young athletes on SCD is small. Any benefits would be achieved at the expense of significant harms.
 
 
 
A6 – LOUISE HURST, NHS WILTSHIRE
 
 
Health Improvement in the Workplace: Current Activity & Good Practice in the NHS in London
 
 
Prince Consort Hall
 
2.20 – 2.40
 
Background: There is widespread recognition of the importance of the workplace as a setting for public health action with increasing evidence of both health and business benefits. Whilst current policy supports workplace health promotion for the NHS and its partners, the extent of Trusts’ engagement with this agenda and the evidence base for what works is less clearly understood.
Aim: To examine the extent and nature of current workplace wellness activities of NHS Trusts in London (as both employers and service providers to other employers), to identify examples of good practice and to explore the underlying factors that facilitate success.  
Methods: An online questionnaire was developed, piloted and disseminated to all NHS Trusts in London (response rate 70%). Trusts with high levels of activity were identified (n=5) and participated in semi-structured focus groups to explore enabling factors for activity.
Results: Coverage of health issues in terms of policy and activity was varied both between individual trusts and types of trust (Primary Care, Mental Health, Acute, Ambulance), with more emphasis on topics related to traditional health and safety approaches, smoking and active travel. Many activities provided were not underpinned by Trust policy and only 10% of Trusts monitored employee health by grade. Examples of good practice included some common features: effective inter-organisational partnerships, programmes based on identified need and senior management engagement. 
Conclusions: This presentation will describe the methodology and limitations of this research, summarise the results and make recommendations for workplace wellness activities in the context of the broader evidence.
 
 
 
B6 – SIMON EVANS, UWE
 
 
 
 
Ashcombe Suite
 
2.20 – 2.40
 
 
Background: The Gloucestershire Partnerships for Older People Project (POPP) was one of 29 prevention projects funded by the Department of Health. The project, titled ‘Gloucestershire Care Homes – Part of our Community’ was awarded £2.5 million to be spent between April 2007 and March 2009. A research team from the University of the West of England, Bristol, (UWE) was commissioned to carry out a local evaluation.

Aims: The UWE evaluation aimed to (i) explore the implications of the project for joint working and cultural change; (ii) assess the impact of specific interventions; and (iii) conduct an economic appraisal of the project.
 
Methods: Qualitative and quantitative methods were used including economic analysis, questionnaires, in depth interviews and documentary analysis. An innovative feature of the project design was the recruitment of older people as ‘community researchers’.

Results: Performance data showed that most of the project targets were achieved, including the provision of training in dementia care, activity provision and nutrition. Significant savings were identified as a result of reduced emergency bed day use and care home medication reviews. Stakeholder interviews suggested improved understanding and partnership working between statutory and independent sector agencies. A range of challenges were identified in terms of changing public perceptions of care homes and increasing the involvement of older people in service development.

Conclusions: The Gloucestershire POPP was a complex and ambitious project which achieved many of its aims, including a reduction in the costs of hospital admissions, through a range of preventative interventions. As a result, key elements of the project have been shown to be sustainable and have been commissioned beyond the life of the project. 
 
 
 
C6 – ALEXANDER IVES, SWPHO
 
 
Lung cancer incidence trends by socio-economic deprivation and by sex.
 
 
Grove Suite
 
2.20 – 2.40
 
 
Aim: To compare trends of lung cancer incidence in the most and least deprived populations of the South West region and how this differs by sex.
 
Methods: The SWPHO cancer registry database was used to identify lung cancer cases diagnosed between 1985 and 2006 in the South West region. National deprivation quintiles were used, where deprivation was based on the income domain of Indices of Multiple Deprivation 2007. The postcode of residence of each patient was used to assign the relevant deprivation quintile. Three year rolling directly age-standardised rates (standardised to the European population) was calculated for the least and most deprived quintiles.
 
Results: Female lung cancer incidence in the South West significantly increased between 1985-1987 and 2004-2006 in the most deprived group (p < 0.01), but not in the most affluent group (p = 0.10). The incidence rate of the most deprived group in 1985-1987 was 100% higher than that of the least deprived (38.0 vs.18.9 per 100,000) while rates are 160% higher in 2004-2006 (49.3 vs.18.7 per 100,000). In contrast, male lung cancer incidence in the South West decreased in both affluent and deprived groups and the difference between the least and most deprived quintiles (deprivation gap) remained relatively constant over time.
 
Conclusion: Female incidence increased in the most deprived group (30%) but not in the most affluent group, increasing the deprivation gap in females over the past 20 years. Smoking prevention is the key to reducing lung cancer. Large health gains will be achieved by focusing on smoking prevention activities for females in these areas.
 
 
 
D6 – RICHARD MARTIN, UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
 
 
What is the value of screening for prostate cancer?
 
 
Clarence Suite
 
2.20 – 2.40
 
 
Background: Screening by serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) testing is intuitively appealing because it identifies cancers localized to the prostate gland and hence potentially curable. However, screening is contentious and the NHS is awaiting evidence that the prospect of benefit from a routine screening programme outweighs the potential for harm..
 
Aim: to i) review the evidence for prostate cancer screening; and ii) to describe our population-based cluster randomized controlled trial of prostate cancer screening.
 
Methods: i) Literature review; ii) Population-based cluster randomized controlled trial of prostate cancer screening, involving over 400,000 men in 600 general practices across the UK (the Comparison Arm for ProtecT (CAP) trial).   
 
Results: No robust randomised trials of screening for prostate cancer have yet been published.  There are studies underway in Europe (ERSPC) and the USA (PLCO).  In the absence of trial findings, some evidence is available from ecological studies and case-control/cohort studies, but these are often difficult to interpret.  It was suggested that the decline in prostate cancer mortality during the 1990s in several countries was due to the increased use of PSA testing.  However, the pattern of change in mortality was inconsistent between and within countries, and falls in mortality were found in countries without widespread screening (such as the UK) as well as those with it (such as the US).  In a study comparing cohorts of men from Seattle-Puget Sound (where there was rapid uptake of PSA screening and prostate cancer treatment) and Connecticut (where testing was uncommon), no differences in mortality were found, even with 11 years of follow-up.  Other factors are likely to have contributed to the secular decrease in mortality from prostate cancer, including improved treatment of clinically detected disease.  Recruitment to the CAP trial was conducted between 2001-2008 and follow-up for primary (10 year prostate cancer mortality) and secondary (15 year prostate cancer mortality, morbidity and cost-effectiveness) outcomes is underway. 
 
Conclusions: The current evidence does not support screening for prostate cancer outside randomised controlled trials investigating its effects.